Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,855$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(594 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(50.4\) days)
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $166$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(38.3 \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(69.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{137.3}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 49.9)}}\) (asimptote \(137.3\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,371$ on 2020-08-18
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $85,219$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(1.01 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(50.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{89,792.4}{1 + 10^{-0.017 (t - 97.3)}}\) (asimptote \(89,792.4\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,790$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(1.54 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(70.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,640.9}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 54.9)}}\) (asimptote \(5,640.9\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $79,429$ on 2020-08-18
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $10,111$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(4.03 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(115.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,850.2}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 34.4)}}\) (asimptote \(8,850.2\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $262$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(117 \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(110.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{246.8}{1 + 10^{-0.050 (t - 30.9)}}\) (asimptote \(246.8\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $992$ on 2020-08-18
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,776$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(2.45 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(87.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,329.9}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 50.4)}}\) (asimptote \(7,329.9\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $334$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(137 \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(94.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{327.2}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 36.1)}}\) (asimptote \(327.2\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $392$ on 2020-08-18
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $16,246$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(4.6 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(86.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{13,607.0}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 47.5)}}\) (asimptote \(13,607.0\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $621$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(268 \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(104.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{603.0}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 34.3)}}\) (asimptote \(603.0\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,847$ on 2020-08-18
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,027$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(960 \times 10^{0.002t}\) (doubling rate \(137.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,837.5}{1 + 10^{-0.074 (t - 29.7)}}\) (asimptote \(1,837.5\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(6.15 \times 10^{0.002t}\) (doubling rate \(166.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.0}{1 + 10^{-0.073 (t - 22.3)}}\) (asimptote \(10.0\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $122$ on 2020-08-18
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $78,897$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(2.19 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(85.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{64,506.5}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 45.8)}}\) (asimptote \(64,506.5\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,959$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(3.95 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(97.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,677.7}{1 + 10^{-0.050 (t - 38.7)}}\) (asimptote \(9,677.7\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $50,890$ on 2020-08-18
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $322,177$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(8.42 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(77.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{296,145.9}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 56.6)}}\) (asimptote \(296,145.9\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $41,466$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(1.43 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(85.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{40,448.5}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 45.2)}}\) (asimptote \(40,448.5\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $279,218$ on 2020-08-18
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $254,636$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(9.46 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(104.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{240,691.1}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 44.4)}}\) (asimptote \(240,691.1\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $35,405$ on 2020-08-18
Best fit exponential: \(1.3 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(99.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{34,538.0}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 46.6)}}\) (asimptote \(34,538.0\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $15,089$ on 2020-08-18
